Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.158670 0.169721 0.181264 0.194240 0.208448 0.223559 0.240885
2026-01-18 0.137728 0.153611 0.171130 0.191984 0.216259 0.243776 0.277549
2026-01-25 0.124433 0.142552 0.163256 0.188851 0.219906 0.256702 0.304107
2026-02-01 0.118082 0.138326 0.162152 0.192574 0.230833 0.277969 0.341408
2026-02-08 0.110345 0.131565 0.157138 0.190650 0.234056 0.289296 0.366449
2026-02-15 0.104707 0.126821 0.154038 0.190558 0.239151 0.302885 0.395069
2026-02-22 0.098357 0.120693 0.148670 0.186960 0.239091 0.309261 0.413900
2026-03-01 0.093919 0.116684 0.145685 0.186142 0.242466 0.320244 0.439816
2026-03-08 0.090670 0.113994 0.144189 0.187103 0.248164 0.334642 0.471714
2026-03-15 0.086379 0.109675 0.140243 0.184368 0.248326 0.340886 0.491534
2026-03-22 0.082977 0.106364 0.137454 0.183020 0.250280 0.349730 0.515953
2026-03-29 0.081154 0.105087 0.137352 0.185419 0.257786 0.367336 0.555919
2026-04-05 0.078192 0.102147 0.134836 0.184240 0.259929 0.376938 0.583799
2026-04-12 0.075111 0.098915 0.131762 0.182066 0.260393 0.383882 0.607781
2026-04-19 0.072032 0.095551 0.128333 0.179143 0.259442 0.388357 0.627655
2026-04-26 0.071058 0.095131 0.129120 0.182619 0.268801 0.410467 0.681718
2026-05-03 0.068648 0.092538 0.126593 0.180823 0.269458 0.417810 0.708754
2026-05-10 0.066864 0.090782 0.125221 0.180737 0.272879 0.430102 0.746528
2026-05-17 0.064316 0.087808 0.121899 0.177377 0.270573 0.432030 0.763751
2026-05-24 0.062590 0.085991 0.120251 0.176613 0.272610 0.441867 0.798079
2026-05-31 0.061380 0.084897 0.119656 0.177510 0.277534 0.457305 0.845827
2026-06-07 0.059387 0.082555 0.117043 0.174955 0.276223 0.460917 0.868347
2026-06-14 0.057806 0.080789 0.115262 0.173696 0.277130 0.468786 0.901134